What Higher Interest Rates in 2017 Could Mean for Real Estate

higher interest rates

There are still a few deciding factors: Dollar Value It appears that the dollar will continue to see stronger values against all other international currencies. If Japanese buyers for instance cannot only earn 1 to 2 percent in their country on investments, then a cap rate of 5 percent for an office building may look like an attractive alternative investment. Economy Growth If our economy grows, commercial real estate leasing should also be in higher demand. Office, industrial, and retail tenants will look to expand. But if the demand is not met with supply, this will shoot up rental rates, which means higher net income to capitalize value. Foreign Investments Foreign investments however do not necessarily lead to ultimate adjustment of values. In the 1980s, the US was faced with a similar marketplace. Overseas buyers would purchase many of our trophy properties throughout the United States– including buildings such as the Rockefeller Center– only to see their building values tumble down when they needed to sell. At that time, no strategic buyers were willing to pay the cap rates lower than the current interest rates. It’s still too early to tell what direction the market will take until our new administration implements plans for the economy. My guess is that we are going to see much higher interest rates, but more foreign demand – which will curve any price value reductions due to higher interest rates. Only time will tell…

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